
Authored by Peter Turchin and Sergey Nefedov, this book presents a theory of long-term historical cycles, integrating demographic-structural theory with historical data. It examines how factors like population growth, elite overproduction, and state fiscal crises contribute to periods of political instability and violence, often recurring over centuries.
Peter Turin is and Peter Z's also tapped into this pretty well I think Zan came on your podcast before
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"Peter Turchin was mentioned by the speaker as a key figure whose models predict global crises every 250 years based on variables like income inequality and competition for elite jobs. This book is his seminal work on the topic, directly relevant to the discussion about historical cycles and societal collapse."





